Polymarket Trader

poshanka

0x99d4068c3b718ac2182cc65f8aa1d7a979efc2c6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $4.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.87K
User PnL: -$2.86

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$2.9

No position

Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$141.09

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $916.6
Potential profit: $916.6
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $684.21
Potential profit: $684.21
User PnL: -$360.54

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $487
Potential profit: $487
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $487
Potential profit: $487
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444
Potential profit: $444
User PnL: -$215.2

No position

Will "Sinners" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $418
Potential profit: $418
User PnL: -$174.36

No position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $394.72
Potential profit: $394.72
User PnL: -$173.51

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.85
Potential profit: $298.85
User PnL: -$53.64

Yes position

Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192
Potential profit: $192
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192
Potential profit: $192
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $719.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $623.66

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $468.15

No position

Will Erin Doherty win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.79

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 30m?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $376.69

No position

Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.03

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $208.91

No position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $188.94

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $175.47

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $168.66

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $147.88

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $131.7

Yes position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.67

No position

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.71

Yes position

Will Aaron Ford win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $66.74

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $66.46

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $65.47

No position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.24

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.65

Yes position

Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

No 25% 100 shares
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 10% 1,305.57 shares
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 52.7% 700 shares
Will Erin Doherty win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

No 99.9% 557 shares
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

No 43.7% 49.72 shares
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

No 48.3% 389.88 shares
Will Michael B. Jordan win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?

No 77.7% 15 shares
Will "Sinners" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?

No 39% 40 shares
Will Erin Doherty win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

No 25% 277 shares
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 57.9% 485.23 shares
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 71% 81.46 shares
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

No 99.9% 1,882.91 shares