MaticBTC5m

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $11.96
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $6.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 28?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 28?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 28?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 28?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.61
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.11
Potential profit: $6.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $5.99
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $3.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $4.74
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 28?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $3.69
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $2.31
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $3.84
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $2.37
Potential payout: $5.99
Potential profit: $3.62
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $5.99
Potential profit: $5.18
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $5.98
Potential payout: $5.99
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $3.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.92
Potential profit: $5.92
User PnL: -$2.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.91
Potential profit: $5.91
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.89
Potential profit: $5.89
User PnL: -$2.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET