Polymarket Trader

charistas

0x99da51d0b6e908531affc059ea6ff953a7014b0e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $188.2
Realized PnL: $74.09
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $31.65
Potential payout: $253.23
Potential profit: $221.57
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$46.85

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $101.16
Potential payout: $127.25
Potential profit: $26.09
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $19.72

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $43.37
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $58.67
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$6.63

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.39
Potential profit: $52.39
User PnL: -$12.05

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $9.91
Potential payout: $48.35
Potential profit: $38.44
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$8.4

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.9
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$5.9

Martin Landaluce position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.75

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.89

Yes position

Will Trump post "Ceasefire" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.88

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.63

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.21

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.75

Yes position

Will Akylas win Sing for Greece 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.03

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.1%
Multiplier: 4.34x
User PnL: -$2.76

No position

S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.14

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.42

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.5

Israel position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$5.99

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Yes 64% 127.25 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev

Martin Landaluce 52% 19.23 shares
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?

Yes 89.1% 103.08 shares
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?

No 25% 58.12 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Yes 29% 50 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 71% 92.24 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 22% 96.16 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 26% 76.92 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Yes 40% 25 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Yes 40% 25 shares
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5

Over 50% 19.4 shares