Polymarket Trader

0x99DCFbdb9C54300Dce58070f488Be02f10d13891-1771943770554

0x99dcfbdb9c54300dce58070f488be02f10d13891

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $71.54
Realized PnL: $38.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Ends Aug 10, 2028

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $10.91
Potential payout: $303.11
Potential profit: $292.2
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$4.58

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $16.6
Potential payout: $255.35
Potential profit: $238.76
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$26.81

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $12.21
Potential payout: $180.96
Potential profit: $168.75
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $50.63
Potential profit: $49.35
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $46.15
Potential profit: $43.15
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.66
Potential payout: $44.2
Potential profit: $42.54
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$2.76

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.2
Potential profit: $27.2
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Egg" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.1
Potential payout: $12.1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

Will Trump say "Switzerland" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.69
Potential profit: $9.69
User PnL: -$1

India position

T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.81
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.81

No position

Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.78

No position

Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

No position

Will the State of the Union be 110 minutes or longer?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Team Lynx position

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Winter Bear (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Trump say "White House" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Trump say "Minnesota" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Yes 34% 14.71 shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 58% 1.72 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 10% 44.2 shares
Will Kamala Harris be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Yes 6.8% 80.81 shares
Will Kamala Harris be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Yes 4.5% 222.3 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 7.9% 50.63 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 6% 166.67 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5.2% 180.96 shares
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies

India 64% 7.81 shares
US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Yes 64.1% 10.55 shares
US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Yes 64.2% 1.56 shares
Will Trump say "Switzerland" during the State of the Union address?

Yes 27.3% 11 shares