No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $48.08K
- Potential payout
- $51.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.58K
Polymarket Trader
weaklei
0x99dd407b80e45874638d783f54b0d8c097544303
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.78K
- Realized PnL
- $15.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $19.7K
- Potential payout
- $20.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.48K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.4K
- Potential profit
- $14.4K
- User PnL
- -$576.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $946.73
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $684.94
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $643.62
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.86
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.05
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $371.19
Yes position
Zelensky resigns in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $197.91
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.9
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.16
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.43
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.68
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.69
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.54
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.41
No position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.32
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.41
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.83
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.86
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.32
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.3% 500 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 4.3% 200 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 4.3% 239.99 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 4.3% 500 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 4.3% 390 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 4.3% 400 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 4.3% 500 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 4.2% 999.99 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 4.1% 90 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 4.1% 274 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 4.1% 500 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 4.1% 270 shares