No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $112.17
- Potential payout
- $112.68
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- User PnL
- $0.17
Polymarket Trader
Harey
0x99e552259670a022dc517e224184321cf37a3eb6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $156.27
- Realized PnL
- $64.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $44.1
- Potential payout
- $46.67
- Potential profit
- $2.57
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.61
- Potential profit
- $33.61
- User PnL
- -$28
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $15.38
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.64
- Potential profit
- $12.64
- User PnL
- -$11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Ackman position
Ackman vs. S&P - January
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 3-9?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 46.67 shares
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 99.4% 112.68 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 93.9% 35.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 83.3% 33.61 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 5.37 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 90% 33.58 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes 93% 107.53 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No 98.7% 13.25 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?Yes 94% 30.37 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No 99.7% 24.55 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No 93.7% 24.55 shares
- Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes 83% 20 shares