Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $6.83
- Potential payout
- $58.14
- Potential profit
- $51.31
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $1.83
Polymarket Trader
ManuelCX
0x99ff7527cffade17857e0f13203ea08461adf3e6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $136.68
- Realized PnL
- $2.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $49.8
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $10.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $48.43
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
No position
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $19.89
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $3.46
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 19?Yes 98.9% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 19?No 87.1% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 19?Yes 98.8% 40 shares
- Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.8% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 19?Yes 13% 5.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 19?Yes 13.5% 15.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 19?Yes 14% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 19?Yes 23% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 19?Yes 3% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 19?No 1.4% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 19?Yes 99.8% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 19?No 99.9% 6 shares