Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
alphaopspm
0x9a18ce66cef74df2874f4be7c4dc2d68ccf3534d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.75
- Realized PnL
- -$815.55
- Win rate
- 34.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $645.2
- Potential profit
- $645.2
- User PnL
- -$503.26
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $70.75
- Potential payout
- $566
- Potential profit
- $495.25
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$76.41
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $405.23
- Potential profit
- $405.23
- User PnL
- -$297.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.12
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.63
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.32
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.15
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $26.92
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of March 30 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0
Blues position
Wild vs. Blues
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.52
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$16.09
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$19.98
Yes position
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$22.52
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$25.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$27.66
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$30.49
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$38.08
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$79.34
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$98.2
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$149.83
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$299.44
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$647.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 81% 303.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown 8.3% 384.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown 7% 966.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp 1% 10,000 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 67% 544 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 74% 544.2 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 78% 633.26 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 73.5% 391.9 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 74% 13.33 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes 51% 10 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 86% 4.62 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No 95% 3.31 shares