Yes position
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
stakezilla
0x9a192b8e856284e341a6fc7b398c7201092874e8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.06K
- Realized PnL
- $1.02K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $994.25
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $155.17
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$5.75
No position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$93.87
Yes position
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $629.71
- Potential profit
- $629.71
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $328.67
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.94
- Potential profit
- $298.94
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $10.13
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $253.03
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190.2
- Potential profit
- $190.2
- User PnL
- -$51.76
Yes position
Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$20
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $48.89
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.65
- Potential profit
- $21.65
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $643.33
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $123.23
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.86
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.94
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.92
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.54
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $24.39
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 90% 55.56 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes 1.5% 333.33 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes 3.8% 263.16 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 46.2% 21.65 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 1,149.43 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.4% 1,039.86 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91.1% 658.66 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 131.05 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 478.7 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 78.7% 381.21 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 98.5% 363.38 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 2.6% 273.71 shares