Polymarket Trader

0x9a25b6DFEEc4C08C3C2C18023B052125D0A230EE-1778504022013

0x9a25b6dfeec4c08c3c2c18023b052125d0a230ee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $843.5
Realized PnL: $4.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.62K
Potential profit: $33.62K
User PnL: -$160.97

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $81.25
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.42K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$18.75

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $39.14
Potential payout: $11.18K
Potential profit: $11.14K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$200.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.91K
Potential profit: $2.91K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $577.05
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $147.23

Yes position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $43.42
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$109.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$232.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$300

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$225

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $887.53
Potential profit: $887.53
User PnL: -$252.01

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $787.4
Potential profit: $787.4
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $102.63
Potential payout: $751.88
Potential profit: $649.25
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $2.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $703.53
Potential profit: $703.53
User PnL: -$300

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$308

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $677.63
Potential profit: $677.63
User PnL: -$400

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $676.08
Potential profit: $676.08
User PnL: -$225

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $627.9
Potential profit: $627.9
User PnL: -$210

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $593.28
Potential profit: $593.28
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $578.57
Potential profit: $578.57
User PnL: -$57.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $390.59
Potential profit: $390.59
User PnL: -$75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $376.79
Potential profit: $376.79
User PnL: -$75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $373.28
Potential profit: $373.28
User PnL: -$105

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $1.33K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $583.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.34

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $364.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $171.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.91

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.01

Yes position

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $73.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

Yes position

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: $33.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Up 64% 156.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Up 58.1% 172.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Down 32% 78.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Down 32% 78.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Up 44% 227.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Up 43% 232.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Up 41% 243.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Up 9% 55.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Up 57% 175.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Up 56.7% 176.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Up 22% 113.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Up 19% 131.58 shares