valuecraft

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.55K
Potential profit: $5.55K
User PnL: -$13.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.34K
Potential profit: $5.34K
User PnL: -$14.02

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $49.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.95K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$19.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$22.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$11.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$128.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$9.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$143.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$10.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $952.7
Potential profit: $952.7
User PnL: -$9.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $920.12
Potential profit: $920.12
User PnL: -$13.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $917.14
Potential profit: $917.14
User PnL: -$26.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $859.99
Potential profit: $859.99
User PnL: -$19.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $823.79
Potential profit: $823.79
User PnL: -$29.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $822.35
Potential profit: $822.35
User PnL: -$142.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $821.11
Potential profit: $821.11
User PnL: -$43.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $802.95
Potential profit: $802.95
User PnL: -$9.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $784.16
Potential profit: $784.16
User PnL: -$137.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $758.54
Potential profit: $758.54
User PnL: -$41.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $747.16
Potential profit: $747.16
User PnL: -$29.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $705.05
Potential profit: $705.05
User PnL: -$42.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $695.68
Potential profit: $695.68
User PnL: -$75.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $668.61
Potential profit: $668.61
User PnL: -$50.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $659.75
Potential profit: $659.75
User PnL: -$53.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $656.56
Potential profit: $656.56
User PnL: -$40.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $634.99
Potential profit: $634.99
User PnL: -$29.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $629.92
Potential profit: $629.92
User PnL: -$77.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $623.59
Potential profit: $623.59
User PnL: -$25.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 12°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $617.38
Potential profit: $617.38
User PnL: -$553.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on April 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $601.81
Potential profit: $601.81
User PnL: -$25.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $598.3
Potential profit: $598.3
User PnL: -$5.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $582.07
Potential profit: $582.07
User PnL: -$43.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $570.29
Potential profit: $570.29
User PnL: -$42.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $540.07
Potential profit: $540.07
User PnL: -$59.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $537.34
Potential profit: $537.34
User PnL: -$41.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $491.88
Potential profit: $491.88
User PnL: -$45.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $488
Potential profit: $488
User PnL: -$31.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $487.07
Potential profit: $487.07
User PnL: -$58.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $482.74
Potential profit: $482.74
User PnL: -$42.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $481.58
Potential profit: $481.58
User PnL: -$29.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $480.82
Potential profit: $480.82
User PnL: -$46.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $473.98
Potential profit: $473.98
User PnL: -$28.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $471.69
Potential profit: $471.69
User PnL: -$29.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $460.62
Potential profit: $460.62
User PnL: -$28.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $456.91
Potential profit: $456.91
User PnL: -$28.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $445.64
Potential profit: $445.64
User PnL: -$39.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $676.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $458.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C or higher on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $357.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 25?