Yes position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $426.39
- Potential profit
- $426.39
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
plny-162
0x9a3752d2654abdc3c2950a555196b362932ee212
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $235.75
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.21
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.95
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.36
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.74
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Yes position
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.41
No position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$8.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Yes 95.5% 426.39 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes 38% 190.19 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 358.44 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 77% 358.44 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 97.8% 282.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 95% 282.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.1% 271.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 94% 103.81 shares
- Will BP be acquired before 2027?No 80% 121.98 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 79% 167.46 shares
- Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 95.2% 132.29 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 99.9% 126.06 shares