Polymarket Trader

Rex416

0x9a3fa403a6666eef75f92f181fcf13f9c051914a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.31K
Realized PnL: $329.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 50
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $2.57K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $17.43K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: -$1.18K

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.95K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$248.85

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $371.7
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.13K
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$26.79

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $95
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.91K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$652.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.96K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $22.76K

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.29K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25K

Yes position

Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.49K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.53K

Yes position

Will another team win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.47K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11K

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77K

No position

Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57K

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.22K

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Suns

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98K

Yes position

Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95K

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6K

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56K

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32K

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25K

No position

Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76K

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.74K

Yes position

Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73K

French Flair position

LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 3 Winner

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $3.6K

No position

Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5K

Yes position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47K

No position

Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3K

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2K

Yes position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08K

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06K

Yes position

Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98K

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78K

Donna Vekic position

Credit One Charleston Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Donna Vekic

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72K

Yes position

Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64K

Jazz position

Timberwolves vs. Jazz

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58K

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Yes 97.5% 201.69 shares
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?

No 99.5% 717.63 shares
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?

No 99.4% 520 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 68.9% 1,500 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Yes 93.5% 1,318.74 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Yes 97.1% 5,136.4 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Yes 67.3% 718.09 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Yes 75.3% 46.33 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Yes 79.6% 468.12 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 14,999.96 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 71.5% 435.63 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 89.3% 500 shares