Polymarket Trader

AmitMishan

0x9a4c7cad8769f2cc2c53101abd51a683546a5ff7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.21K
Realized PnL: $1.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.42
Potential payout: $14.84K
Potential profit: $14.83K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.42

Yes position

Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.5K
Potential profit: $14.5K
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.97K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$14.99

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $50.56
Potential payout: $9.19K
Potential profit: $9.14K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$39.43

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $90.22
Potential payout: $6.68K
Potential profit: $6.59K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$47.76

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $171.15
Potential payout: $6.46K
Potential profit: $6.29K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $71.15

Yes position

Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $145.65
Potential payout: $4.35K
Potential profit: $4.2K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $45.66

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.49K
Potential profit: $3.49K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $163.22
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.53K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $13.22

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.17K
User PnL: -$19.56

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $251.88
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $51.88

Yes position

Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $177.05
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$262.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$29.48

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $927.03
Potential profit: $927.03
User PnL: -$56.75

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $97.29
Potential payout: $775.19
Potential profit: $677.91
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$2.71

No position

Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $672.54
Potential profit: $672.54
User PnL: -$90

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.63

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.31

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.03

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.52

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.69

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.67

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.81

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.68

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.13

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Australia?

Yes 11% 18.18 shares
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Australia?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Australia?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Australia?

Yes 1.2% 416.67 shares
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Australia?

Yes 2.9% 172.41 shares
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Australia?

Yes 7% 71.43 shares
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Australia?

Yes 7% 71.43 shares
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Korea Republic?

Yes 9% 77.78 shares
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Korea Republic?

Yes 7% 71.43 shares
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Korea Republic?

Yes 4.2% 119.17 shares
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Korea Republic?

Yes 9% 55.56 shares