Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $24.75
- Potential payout
- $27.66
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Polymarket Trader
0x9a53...9fc9
0x9a5336297e4b46e99c8a3be1c216e7951ac89fc9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $37.55
- Realized PnL
- -$8.77
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $10.87
- Multiplier
- 7.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $8.87
- Potential payout
- $9.59
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.3%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $6.9
- Potential profit
- $4.61
- Multiplier
- 3.01x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.66
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 81% 9.59 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 27.66 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.8% 52.08 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 6.9 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 12.5 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.6% 52.08 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4% 137.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 85% 6.81 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 27% 7.41 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 82.4% 21.78 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 65.4% 3.72 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 93% 10.7 shares