No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250.67
- Potential profit
- $250.67
- User PnL
- -$3.76
Polymarket Trader
quigleypuff
0x9a5434a36729afc9a47952b926143f5d7efd566c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $117.75
- Realized PnL
- $1.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.98
- Potential profit
- $182.98
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $73.02
- Potential payout
- $123.77
- Potential profit
- $50.75
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $65.52
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $17.51
- Potential payout
- $113
- Potential profit
- $95.48
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.48
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.4%
- Current value
- $10.69
- Potential payout
- $65.36
- Potential profit
- $54.67
- Multiplier
- 6.12x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.36
- Potential profit
- $57.36
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $16.52
- Potential payout
- $52.54
- Potential profit
- $36.01
- Multiplier
- 3.18x
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.39
- Potential profit
- $28.39
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.08
- Potential profit
- $23.08
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Sam Altman say "Sora" 3+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $21.28
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes 17.7% 113 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes 15.3% 65.36 shares
- Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No 51.3% 123.77 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes 28.6% 52.54 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No 84% 17.94 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No 78% 17.95 shares
- Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No 6.1% 247.54 shares
- Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No 1.5% 250.67 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No 42% 11.9 shares
- Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes 65% 23.08 shares
- Will Sam Altman say "Sora" 3+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes 47% 21.28 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes 5.6% 89.29 shares