Polymarket Trader

0x9a5481500A7E50EF02144ae4C8D1BE3c084B0D15-1777254699529

0x9a5481500a7e50ef02144ae4c8d1be3c084b0d15

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $97.85
Realized PnL: $201.68
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$40.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.61
Potential profit: $101.61
User PnL: -$38.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$22.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.65
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$6.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$36.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 21.7%
Current value: $21.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $78.3
Multiplier: 4.61x
User PnL: -$11.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$33.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 73.8%
Current value: $73.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $26.2
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $23.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.27
Potential profit: $12.27
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 9.2% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 32.7% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 50.1% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET

Up 98% 20.41 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7?

No 99.2% 23.19 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5?

Yes 98.3% 17.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10PM ET

Down 99.4% 15.09 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4?

Yes 99.3% 23.16 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?

Yes 99.9% 21.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET

Up 99.8% 14.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET

Down 99% 17.17 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

No 96.1% 13.53 shares