Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $624.97
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$369.87
Polymarket Trader
Constancefung
0x9a5d6661a517f12c7164fc52e8616a38754d4261
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.97K
- Realized PnL
- $4.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $24.71
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $99.55
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $659.91
- Potential payout
- $679.62
- Potential profit
- $19.71
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $24.1
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $576.3
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $23.7
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $555.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $44.1
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $18.9
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $487.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $12.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $493.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $472.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $27.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
No position
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $495.74
- Potential payout
- $497.74
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- User PnL
- $39.46
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $379.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $20.8
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $23.8
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $264.75
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $35.25
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$8.85
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $297.9
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $281.55
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $18.45
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
No position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $292.05
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $7.95
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $296.69
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $198.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $197
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.2
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $49.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $50.5
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$18.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $97.48
- Potential payout
- $98.61
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $12.02
No position
Will Solana reach $90 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $78.35
- Potential payout
- $79.99
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $29.09
- Potential payout
- $43.1
- Potential profit
- $14.01
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$18.38
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.9%
- Current value
- $3.32
- Potential payout
- $4.21
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $849.72
Yes position
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.52
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.09
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.35
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.45
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.91
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.19
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.05
BNK FEARX position
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.79
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.83
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $106.43
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $104.27
Down position
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $104.24
T1 position
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.97
Up position
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.54
Dplus KIA position
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.62
T1 position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.14
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.01
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.59
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.48
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on June 18?Down 92% 37.5 shares
- Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on June 17?Down 96% 39.97 shares
- Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on June 17?Down 92% 12.5 shares
- Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on June 17?Down 91% 27.47 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 94% 492.56 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 95% 170 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 94% 30 shares
- Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on June 16?Down 95% 45.51 shares
- Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on June 16?Down 94.6% 18 shares
- Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on June 16?Down 92% 37.5 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.4% 100 shares
- Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on June 15?Up 95% 13.72 shares