No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $35.81
- Potential payout
- $38.3
- Potential profit
- $2.49
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.77
Polymarket Trader
zilvinas
0x9a5ed6b975fb1962bb6867ca516fcf61270e4c7e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $108.44
- Realized PnL
- $25.38
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $21.83
- Potential payout
- $22.77
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $18.77
- Potential payout
- $19.21
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $16.78
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $15.26
- Potential payout
- $17.05
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 92.7% 19.21 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No 91.8% 17.43 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?No 87.6% 12 shares
- Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?No 80% 17.44 shares
- Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?No 83.6% 11.23 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No 87% 18.75 shares
- Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?No 86% 17.44 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 88% 17.05 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?No 95.4% 12 shares
- Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?No 89% 11.24 shares
- Tucker Carlson federally charged?No 96.1% 10.94 shares
- Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?No 95% 11.53 shares