Polymarket Trader

saul05

@Ignacio2006Saul

0x9a638051c68bcf231f947b505bce88af5f2f3db2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43.77
Realized PnL: $124.18
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $12.79
Potential payout: $124.76
Potential profit: $111.97
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$2.21

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $22.11
Potential payout: $96.32
Potential profit: $74.21
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $8.04

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.21
Potential profit: $84.21
User PnL: -$53.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.02
Potential profit: $63.02
User PnL: -$54.89

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.88
Potential profit: $46.88
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $8.88
Potential payout: $42.99
Potential profit: $34.11
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $3.88

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.45
Potential profit: $30.45
User PnL: -$12.79

No position

Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of November?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.62
Potential profit: $19.62
User PnL: -$15.5

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.12
Potential profit: $9.12
User PnL: -$4.92

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.96
Potential profit: $6.96
User PnL: -$1.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $6.59
User PnL: -$1.98

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $6.1
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.99
Potential profit: $5.99
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.27
Potential profit: $5.27
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.9
Potential profit: $3.9
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.19
Potential profit: $3.19
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6
Potential profit: $2.6
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.45
Potential profit: $2.45
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will Trump say "God" 3+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $2.41
User PnL: -$2

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15
Potential profit: $2.15
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.61

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of November?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Meta (META) close above $600 end of November?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

No position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Knicks position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 64% 46.88 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 35.7% 89.71 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 28.6% 17.62 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.2% 30.48 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 28.6% 45.07 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 71% 14.28 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 42% 30.45 shares
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Yes 94% 13.88 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.6% 39.15 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 18.5% 27.03 shares
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Yes 98.4% 11.62 shares