0x9a6ec62F9162d3B4202325a29b3F6Ab95E4a287D-1769308612603

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.12
Potential profit: $137.12
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $111
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.83
Potential profit: $100.83
User PnL: -$4.86

Over position

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$2

Spirit position

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$17

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.99
Potential profit: $56.99
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will PARIVISION win IEM Krakow 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $23.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $16.2
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $11.39
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $18.62
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 36.9%
Current value: $11.06
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $18.95
Multiplier: 2.71x
User PnL: $0.13

EDward Gaming position

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$8.69

EDward Gaming position

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$5.6

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Krakow 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.84
Potential profit: $20.84
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

FURIA position

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.09

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.62

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.39

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 17.9%
Multiplier: 5.60x
User PnL: $13.75

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.45

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.16

Yes position

Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.62

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.89

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.36

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

No position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Team Vitality win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winner

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

No position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?