Polymarket Trader

nickileee

0x9a70b6223b711a0afbbcace7eff1217412f72df6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $228.8
Realized PnL: $523.04
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $67.8
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $161
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$69

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on August 11?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.08
Potential profit: $59.08
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $113K and $114K on August 7 at 5PM ET?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Ethereum above $4400 on August 11?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $115K on August 7 at 5PM ET?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$6.75

No position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.27

Alcaraz position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.96

No position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.9

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.37

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.05

Sinner position

ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.4

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?

Ends Aug 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.84

No position

Bitcoin above $111.5K on August 25 at 4PM ET?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

Yes position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Sinner position

Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K August 25–31?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on August 6?

Ends Aug 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

Sabalenka position

Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Raducanu (W)

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Fritz position

Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Fokina

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Fritz position

Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Diallo

Ends Jul 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Djokovic position

Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K August 25–31?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 69% 90 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 76% 200 shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Yes 6.9% 1,200 shares
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Gen.G 90% 100 shares
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Yes 98.5% 10 shares
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 86% 10 shares
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Anyones Legend 89% 5 shares
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes 15% 50 shares
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Yes 85% 100 shares
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?

No 95.7% 300 shares
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev

Alcaraz 73.4% 200 shares
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev

Alcaraz 47% 50 shares