Polymarket Trader

Elixdt

0x9a7510e8d7882d8d2a1e04910a75d5df95ec02d3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $63.13
Realized PnL: $58.67
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Starmer out by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $307.42
Potential profit: $307.42
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $212.07
Potential profit: $210.91
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $6.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.35
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $4.05

Yes position

Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.84
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $7.03
Potential payout: $61.11
Potential profit: $54.08
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.03

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $8.34
Potential payout: $40.67
Potential profit: $32.34
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.66

No position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.71
Potential profit: $32.71
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.74
Potential profit: $31.74
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $26.19
Potential profit: $23.51
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $13.74
Potential payout: $21.3
Potential profit: $7.56
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $6.44

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $19.69
Potential profit: $17.81
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: -$6.07

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.7
Potential profit: $18.7
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $17.29
Potential profit: $15.82
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $13.15
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will Germany be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $11.53
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $3.35
Potential payout: $12.9
Potential profit: $9.55
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $9.31
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $4.63
Potential payout: $10.18
Potential profit: $5.55
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $9.93
Potential profit: $8.36
Multiplier: 6.31x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.08
Potential profit: $8.08
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $2.82
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $1.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.13

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

No position

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Chancellor" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 11.6% 17.29 shares
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 61% 8.2 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 31.2% 3.21 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 61.5% 1.63 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 61.5% 3.25 shares
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 14% 9.26 shares
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 47% 9.69 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 67% 2.99 shares
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 4% 20 shares
Will Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 0.9% 112.08 shares
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 26% 3.85 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 22.22 shares