Yes position
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.7
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Polymarket Trader
NowayOut142536
0x9a7eb0c7b952c7013ed7b5d2d244178bcb447d4c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.85
- Realized PnL
- $323.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $79.48
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will Armenian Revolutionary Federation win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.58
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $33.79
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
No position
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $6.39
- Potential payout
- $26.09
- Potential profit
- $19.7
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $5.35
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $19.04
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $21.22
- Potential profit
- $18.98
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $17.39
- Potential profit
- $17.11
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$5.11
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $16.92
- Potential profit
- $16.68
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $16.78
- Potential profit
- $16.77
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.6%
- Current value
- $6.42
- Potential payout
- $16.22
- Potential profit
- $9.79
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $13.26
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.41
- Potential profit
- $10.41
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.58
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $10.19
- Potential profit
- $10.18
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $8.16
- Potential payout
- $10.13
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.15
- Potential payout
- $10.11
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.9
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $7.89
- Potential profit
- $7.86
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $6.11
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $6.76
- Potential profit
- $6.64
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Yes position
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $6.74
- Potential profit
- $6.68
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $6.35
- Potential profit
- $6.33
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.85
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.7
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.23
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 23?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.17
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.98
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 18?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.62
Philadelphia Phillies position
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.35
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.09
Los Angeles Angels position
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.14
Vitaliy Sachko position
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.81
Cleveland Guardians position
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.67
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.21
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.52
Karachi Kings position
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.13
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.88
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Elina Svitolina position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 30?Yes 1% 5.26 shares
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under 50% 5.1 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on July 5?No 19% 5.26 shares
- Donyell Malen: 1+ shotsNo 45% 5.09 shares
- Donyell Malen: 1+ shotsNo 53% 5.09 shares
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 99.5% 5.05 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 5.06 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 3?Yes 20% 5.25 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 2?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 10, 2026?Yes 59% 5.08 shares
- Vinícius Júnior: 5+ shotsNo 99% 5.06 shares