Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.53
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Polymarket Trader
novel
0x9a8142a8fa975a4d8a8b698f62c2eca4059b3e68
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $200.08
- Realized PnL
- $896.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $10.27
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $39.73
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.8%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.6
- Multiplier
- 9.26x
- User PnL
- $3.65
No position
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $49.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $39.74
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $32.85
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $32.79
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.66
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.2%
- Current value
- $10.63
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.37
- Multiplier
- 1.88x
- User PnL
- $4.51
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $2.51
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $15.49
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $1.84
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $9.68
- Multiplier
- 5.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.68
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.7%
- Current value
- $9.68
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $3.68
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$1.3
No position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $733.91
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.2
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
Ends Nov 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
No position
Will Italy win the 2024 Euros?
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37
No position
Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 20?
Ends Sep 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Will Slovenia win Group C?
Ends Jun 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
United States wins Copa America 2024?
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Alexandre Sarr be the first pick in the 2024 NBA Draft?
Ends Jun 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Is $DJT real?
Ends Jun 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will the HBO documentary identify Elon Musk as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be Euro 2024 top scorer?
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will Albania win?
Ends Jun 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Solana above $145 on August 30?
Ends Aug 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will $BTC reach 75k before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.8% 245 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 29?No 99.6% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?No 99.9% 11 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 23 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.7% 15 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 13.8% 18 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.9% 40 shares
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.9% 38 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.9% 36 shares
- Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?No 97.1% 20 shares
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.4% 40 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 99.8% 33 shares