Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.33M
- Potential profit
- $71.33M
- User PnL
- -$103.43K
Polymarket Trader
Pedro1414
0x9a817c446ca66b8859e77f4716a785dc7e76d324
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.7
- Realized PnL
- $1.16K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.2K
- Potential profit
- $8.2K
- User PnL
- -$497.98
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $13.15
- Potential payout
- $4.38K
- Potential profit
- $4.37K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$195.55
Yes position
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $34.43
- Potential payout
- $882.74
- Potential profit
- $848.31
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$69.85
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335.78
- Potential profit
- $335.78
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.41
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.46
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.47
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.91
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.69
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.38
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $36.67
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.73
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $26.32
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.08
No position
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $7.88
No position
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5.96
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.95
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.1% 1 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.6% 7,200 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.4% 78,019.99 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.6% 50 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.5% 138,121.66 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.4% 55,555 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.4% 238,198 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.4% 15,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.4% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.4% 42,151.31 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.2% 1,000,000 shares