Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $502.74
- Potential payout
- $882.15
- Potential profit
- $379.41
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $2.74
Polymarket Trader
Celt
0x9a8ddb828c9017e52923ccd0a7b753fd57bdd29e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.06K
- Realized PnL
- $1.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $391
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $233.31
- Potential payout
- $289.82
- Potential profit
- $56.52
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $13.31
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $201.21
- Potential payout
- $246.91
- Potential profit
- $45.7
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $111.12
- Potential profit
- $95.29
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- -$4.18
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $49.73
- Potential payout
- $54.95
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.56
- Potential profit
- $38.56
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $18.92
- Potential payout
- $21.44
- Potential profit
- $2.52
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $9.59
- Potential payout
- $11.77
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Current value
- $10.3
- Potential payout
- $11.43
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $9.62
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $5.87
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.11
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.26
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.66
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.12
No position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.86
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.1
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.86
No position
SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.56
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.42
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $20.65
No position
Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
Yes position
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
Yes position
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
No position
Matt Gaetz Ethics Report made public in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
No position
East coast port strike in January?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.54
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?
Ends Nov 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.88
No position
Faithless elector in US election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
Yes position
Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?
Ends Apr 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 263.16 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 43% 21.74 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 98.3% 22.34 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes 2.5% 400 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 89% 10.98 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes 56.7% 882.15 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 90% 11.11 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 87.5% 11.43 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes 85% 23.53 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 55% 42.26 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 25% 51.28 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 39% 51.28 shares