Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $114.58
- Potential payout
- $363.76
- Potential profit
- $249.17
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$27.47
Polymarket Trader
trailerboy1
0x9a917be3cc7cf8d3dbee25d4a4eceffb5689946c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $127.21
- Realized PnL
- $330.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $248.45
- Potential profit
- $243.36
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$73.72
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $7.37
- Potential payout
- $50.82
- Potential profit
- $43.45
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$13.95
Yes position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.49
- Potential profit
- $17.49
- User PnL
- -$8.74
Yes position
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $5.62
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.21
- Potential profit
- $2.21
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $1.5
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Microsoft have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will another pair of candidates advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.25
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.36
No position
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.82
No position
Will the Bodoland People’s Front (BPF) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.97
Yes position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.95
No position
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.95
No position
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.11
No position
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.08
No position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.47
No position
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.84
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.13
No position
Will the Bharatiya Gorkha Prajatantrik Morcha (BGPM) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.06
No position
Will Sylbourne Sydial win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.82
No position
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.35
No position
Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 3?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.22
No position
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $8.72
No position
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.35
No position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.49
No position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.49
No position
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 32% 12.59 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 30% 89.13 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 27% 197.69 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 40% 92.65 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 40% 95.3 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 40% 92.65 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 43% 2.49 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 43% 2.49 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 43% 2.49 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 43% 2.49 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 43% 2.49 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 42% 2.55 shares