Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.82
- Potential profit
- $197.82
- User PnL
- -$11
Polymarket Trader
shenwilly
0x9a9c5062a8eca017799d5ed6a4c59a15300619ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $102.72
- Realized PnL
- $378.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $195.81
- Potential profit
- $195.81
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.64
- Potential profit
- $194.64
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $98.53
- Potential profit
- $97.99
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$30.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.64
- Potential profit
- $49.64
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $35.64
- Potential payout
- $47.85
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Yes position
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $26.01
- Potential payout
- $31.91
- Potential profit
- $5.91
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $11.01
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.79
- Potential profit
- $26.79
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Bryan Johnson say "Mushroom" 10+ times while tripping balls?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.47
- Potential profit
- $24.47
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $22.53
- Potential payout
- $24.1
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.53
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.06
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $6.35
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
No position
Will Bryan Johnson say "Illegal" or "Experiment" while tripping balls?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.46
- Potential profit
- $14.46
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $10.89
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Sam Altman be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.88
- Potential profit
- $8.88
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $8.62
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.06
Yes position
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.61
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.53
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.52
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.48
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.92
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.12
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
Yes position
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.52
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $3.38
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for 10 seconds or more?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes 62% 12.9 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 4.2% 23.81 shares
- Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?No 83% 12.05 shares
- Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?No 83% 12.05 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 84% 11.9 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?Yes 1.2% 83.33 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?Yes 1.1% 94.64 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 50% 50 shares
- Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No 47% 31.91 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 63% 15.87 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes 85.9% 34.94 shares