Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $9.64
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $61.79
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Polymarket Trader
wtfguys
@dustycoley
0x9abb06b80bdee9bfd59019d88aa39e700172b5d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $85.28
- Realized PnL
- $30.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $27.49
- Potential payout
- $27.5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $5.49
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $16.91
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $7.78
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$3.09
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $20.74
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $10.49
- Potential payout
- $14.08
- Potential profit
- $3.59
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Dubois position
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Ankalaev position
Ankalaev vs. Pereira
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$2
Holland position
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1
Cavaliers position
Bulls vs. Cavaliers
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- User PnL
- -$1
Bohachuk position
Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- User PnL
- -$1
Leal position
UFC Fight Night: Salikhov vs. Leal
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- User PnL
- -$1
Zellhuber position
UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuber
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- User PnL
- -$1
Miami position
Miami vs. SMU Mustangs
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- User PnL
- -$1
Packers position
Panthers vs. Packers
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Cubs position
Orioles vs. Cubs
Ends Aug 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.33
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $3.68
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Holloway position
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Makhachev position
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Thunder position
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Dvalishvili position
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagen
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Du Plessis position
Du Plessis vs. Strickland
Ends Feb 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Sandhagen position
Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Ends May 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Avalanche position
Devils vs. Avalanche
Ends Mar 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Chimaev position
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Silva position
Grasso vs. Silva
Ends May 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Matthews position
Matthews vs. Prado
Ends Feb 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Sy position
UFC Fight Night: Sy vs. Ribeiro
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Celtics position
Magic vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-25?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Mets position
White Sox vs. Mets
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Zalal position
Emmett vs. Zalal
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Thunder position
Lakers vs. Thunder
Ends Apr 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will "El Mal" win Best Original Song at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Yes 80% 27.5 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 81% 24.69 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No 81% 24.69 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 14% 71.43 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 71% 14.08 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 126.08 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 92% 126.09 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 73% 73.52 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 68% 73.53 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Sergei Pavlovich 84% 1.19 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 68% 3.44 shares
- Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)Bohachuk 78% 1.28 shares