Polymarket Trader

ash3erman

0x9aca4d50c5c279f9c8429c31dbbce097e25f61fd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.09K
Realized PnL: $4.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $11.42K
Potential payout: $12.28K
Potential profit: $859.4
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.77K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.38K
Potential profit: $3.38K
User PnL: -$316.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$163.31

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $782.83
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $627.68
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$170.64

Yes position

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $28.26
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $501.37

Sabres position

Canadiens vs. Sabres

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$510.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $738.56
Potential profit: $738.56
User PnL: -$433.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.74
Potential profit: $599.74
User PnL: -$190.17

New York Yankees position

Spread: Athletics (-1.5)

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $441.5
Potential profit: $441.5
User PnL: -$322.3

New York Yankees position

Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.94
Potential profit: $399.94
User PnL: -$237.96

Under position

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $204.9
Potential payout: $375.96
Potential profit: $171.06
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.93
Potential profit: $350.93
User PnL: -$234.83

Yes position

Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $207.5
Potential payout: $332.01
Potential profit: $124.5
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $24.26

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.18
Potential profit: $300.18
User PnL: -$141.08

Under position

Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.73
Potential profit: $286.73
User PnL: -$175.84

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $15.23
Potential payout: $264.84
Potential profit: $249.61
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$54.33

Clippers position

Warriors vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.55
Potential profit: $250.55
User PnL: -$199.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.07
Potential profit: $221.07
User PnL: -$66.48

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.76
Potential profit: $200.76
User PnL: -$101.88

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.48
Potential profit: $200.48
User PnL: -$102.24

Yes position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.93
Potential profit: $189.93
User PnL: -$159.63

Over position

San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.44
Potential profit: $183.44
User PnL: -$91.72

Max Holloway position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $113.06
Potential payout: $170.02
Potential profit: $56.96
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.51
Potential profit: $169.51
User PnL: -$90.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $398.68

Under position

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.24

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.48

Yes position

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.59

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.08

Seattle Mariners position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.83

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.61

Milwaukee Brewers position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.23

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.68

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.14

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.22

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.07

Over position

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.03

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.22

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.42

No position

Barstool After Dark: Will the crew bowl a 300?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.68

Seattle Mariners position

Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.01

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Athletics

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees

New York Yankees 55% 100 shares
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5

Over 47% 15 shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5

Over 53% 41.82 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5

Over 52% 14.74 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves 56% 600.96 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves 56% 192.28 shares
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5

Over 52% 853.24 shares
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5

Over 45% 14.09 shares
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5

Over 62% 37 shares
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers 62% 21.38 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Yes 46% 500 shares
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

Over 58% 5 shares