Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $6.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $393.6
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$82.6
Polymarket Trader
jq123
0x9ad64f384d51d850054266ac3ba3ac0eb435cc62
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $982.71
- Realized PnL
- $2.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $52.35
- Potential payout
- $337.71
- Potential profit
- $285.37
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $6.07
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $305.45
- Potential profit
- $305.45
- User PnL
- -$103.69
No position
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $282.15
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $17.85
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $39.39
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $43.4
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $236.6
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $183.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $66.25
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$12.75
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $55
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $145
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $97
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $103
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$18.7
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $25.82
- Potential payout
- $147.56
- Potential profit
- $121.73
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $6.31
Yes position
Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.96
- Potential profit
- $101.96
- User PnL
- -$13.23
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.2%
- Current value
- $77.54
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $12.47
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $4.61
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $77.44
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$25.44
No position
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $35.93
- Potential payout
- $60.39
- Potential profit
- $24.46
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $2.87
No position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $58.98
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $12.78
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $9.87
- Potential payout
- $56.43
- Potential profit
- $46.55
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $39.49
- Potential payout
- $42.24
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$24.1
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $2.72
- Potential payout
- $23.63
- Potential profit
- $20.91
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.7
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.93
No position
Iran strike on Qatar today?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $185.85
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.43
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.5
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.32
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.05
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.17
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 27 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.5
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.5
Yes position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.52
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.03
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by between 0% and 3.00%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.55
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.38
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.66
No position
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.27
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.65
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.7
Yes position
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.17
Yes position
Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.22
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 58% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 38% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 22.2% 400 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?Yes 6% 100 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 41% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 75.8% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Yes 23% 20 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes 12% 50 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026?Yes 28% 63.15 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?Yes 53% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?Yes 81.8% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88% 100 shares