Yes position
Base airdrop in Q3 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
Tikan
0x9ae888bb2ef544d7549594cd717815b192c21e18
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.42
- Realized PnL
- $4.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.6%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $1.13
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 3.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
GPT-5 released in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Bitcoin all time high in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Trump post about a memecoin before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
ChatGPT #1 app May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Megaquake in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Iran military response by Sunday?
Ends Aug 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Bird flu pandemic in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will 'Sinners' gross between $49m and $54m on opening weekend?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 1.1 shares
- Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 94% 1.06 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?Yes 90% 2.22 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?Yes 33% 3.03 shares
- Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 90.3% 1.11 shares
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 88.2% 1.13 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 98.8% 1.12 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 89% 1.12 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes 66% 1.52 shares
- Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No 91.2% 1.1 shares
- Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 81% 1.23 shares
- Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No 97.2% 1.41 shares