Under position
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$60
Polymarket Trader
Arabellissim
0x9af195ffcaa338887a508ebfd16af21f66b4157a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.99
- Realized PnL
- $1.21K
- Win rate
- 90%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $22.09
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Bosnia and Herzegovina position
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Team Liquid position
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.85
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $8.84
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.1%
- Multiplier
- 5.87x
- User PnL
- $4.75
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86% 22.09 shares
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina 47% 2,244.68 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.6% 169.49 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 169.49 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No 98% 56.12 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No 98% 56.12 shares
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under 50% 120 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 84.3% 139.74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 78% 139.74 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No 93.8% 75.43 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No 98.1% 75.43 shares
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonTeam Liquid 69% 34.35 shares