Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$117
Polymarket Trader
0x9aF32Cec2C3Ba8f6ba10057EB2e90d971Cc42F16-1767960102317
0x9af32cec2c3ba8f6ba10057eb2e90d971cc42f16
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $143.5
- Realized PnL
- $531.41
- Win rate
- 14.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $97.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$172.5
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $46
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $953.98
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.96
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$98
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 7% 800 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes 5% 2,500 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 25% 400 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 25% 400 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes 9% 2,500 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 19% 1,500 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes 0.2% 24,979.7 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 16% 1,500 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.7% 2,497.43 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes 0.4% 24,979.7 shares
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Yes 35% 571.9 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1,430 shares