Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$39.96
Polymarket Trader
cha866
0x9aff6ac106a775f321bbe253b2da6259aef9b3a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $170.3
- Realized PnL
- $2.95K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $91.3
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$54.68
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $78.52
- Potential payout
- $397.59
- Potential profit
- $319.07
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$51.89
Yes position
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $320.9
- Potential profit
- $320.42
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.57
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.68
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
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Yes position
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.93
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.21
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.17
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.99
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.27
Yes position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Trump blowout victory?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.79
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$41.92
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$94.98
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$117.75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$194
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$393.02
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$470.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?Yes 96.9% 238.36 shares
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?Yes 98.3% 48.22 shares
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?Yes 98.3% 28.67 shares
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?Yes 0.1% 831.99 shares
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?Yes 0.2% 632.16 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 32.8% 97.59 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 32.8% 100 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 32.8% 100 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 32.8% 100 shares
- Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes 1.3% 87.34 shares
- Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes 1.1% 141.56 shares
- Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes 0.3% 92 shares