Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
baptisted5
0x9b0a85d1f24d7039939364963fddb268593217af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $83.32
- Realized PnL
- $217.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $29.91
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$249.58
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $27.48
- Potential payout
- $495.05
- Potential profit
- $467.57
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$22.52
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.75
- Potential profit
- $139.75
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $18.25
- Potential payout
- $45.06
- Potential profit
- $26.81
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$6.08
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.22
- Potential profit
- $39.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $6.34
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $25.92
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- -$3.66
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $22.8
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $13.86
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$8.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.62
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $10.61
No position
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes 0.8% 2,504.95 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.1% 495.05 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 35.8% 139.75 shares
- MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.5% 2,136.08 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 90% 400 shares
- Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 75% 40.81 shares
- MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 390 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 67.6% 164.34 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 6.1% 328.69 shares
- Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?No 99.1% 28.16 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No 51% 39.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 4?Yes 69% 1.45 shares