Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $448.43
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Polymarket Trader
0x9b1fb3472172ccf9ca9ceb9d0bce63cb8519ff2
0x9b1fb3472172ccf9ca9ceb9d0b1ce63cb8519ff2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $267.71
- Realized PnL
- $2.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $10.49
- Potential payout
- $322.92
- Potential profit
- $312.42
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $5.74
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $248
- Potential profit
- $247.38
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.26
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $206.75
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $208.82
- Potential profit
- $200.58
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $181.4
- Potential profit
- $179.41
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$23.58
Yes position
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $8.54
- Potential payout
- $155.22
- Potential profit
- $146.69
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$12.26
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $92.37
- Potential payout
- $134.85
- Potential profit
- $42.48
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $7.37
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $3.32
- Potential payout
- $125.33
- Potential profit
- $122.01
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $13.69
- Potential payout
- $109.09
- Potential profit
- $95.4
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $106
- Potential profit
- $105.42
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.72
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $20.62
- Potential payout
- $104.94
- Potential profit
- $84.32
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $104.44
- Potential profit
- $102.83
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $14.1
- Potential payout
- $103.27
- Potential profit
- $89.17
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $23.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $76.5
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$24.5
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $88
- Potential profit
- $86.02
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$6.82
Yes position
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $84.67
- Potential profit
- $84
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.2
Y
Yes position
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $22.29
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $34.86
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $14.29
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $24.98
- Potential payout
- $54.9
- Potential profit
- $29.92
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $41.91
- Potential profit
- $41.7
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.79
Yes position
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Current value
- $12.93
- Potential payout
- $34.44
- Potential profit
- $21.51
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $6.73
No position
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $6.29
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.45
Yes position
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.11
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.99
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.7
Yes position
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.28
Yes position
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.17
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.16
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 50-51°F on February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.33
Yes position
Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 18.5
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.93
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.11
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 41°F or below on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.69
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.71
Yes position
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.75
No position
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.57
76ers position
76ers vs. Warriors
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.5
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 47.4% 54.9 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 17% 134.97 shares
- Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?No 98.8% 11.93 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown 15% 6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp 74% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETDown 5% 8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp 63% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETDown 26% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETUp 38% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETUp 34% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETUp 52% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETUp 5% 15 shares