vicduong

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $60K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.33K
Potential profit: $18.33K
User PnL: -$61.17

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.42K
Potential profit: $7.42K
User PnL: -$34.49

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $10.88
Potential payout: $7.25K
Potential profit: $7.24K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$6.12

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $6.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$20.5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
User PnL: -$16.99

Yes position

Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.69K
User PnL: -$259.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$33.43

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $996.5
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $198.89
Potential payout: $904.06
Potential profit: $705.16
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $8.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $115.45
Potential payout: $888.08
Potential profit: $772.63
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $10.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 18?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $66.2
Potential payout: $882.63
Potential profit: $816.43
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$23.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $798.12
Potential profit: $798.12
User PnL: -$28.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $649.08
Potential profit: $648.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $624.98
Potential profit: $624.67
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $589.03
Potential profit: $589.03
User PnL: -$60.38

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $562.97
Potential profit: $562.97
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $490.26
Potential profit: $490.26
User PnL: -$20.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $487.96
Potential profit: $487.96
User PnL: -$16.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360.54
Potential profit: $360.54
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325.49
Potential profit: $325.49
User PnL: -$58.67

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $323.33
Potential profit: $323.33
User PnL: -$2.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.29
Potential profit: $316.29
User PnL: -$91.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $94.82
Potential payout: $301
Potential profit: $206.19
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $16.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298
Potential profit: $298
User PnL: -$55.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $287
Potential profit: $284.7
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: $0.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $273.33
Potential profit: $273.33
User PnL: -$32.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.81
Potential profit: $225.81
User PnL: -$32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $224.49
Potential profit: $224.49
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $217.7
Potential profit: $217.59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$52.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $210
User PnL: -$66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.59
Potential profit: $180.59
User PnL: -$2.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.3
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.6
Potential profit: $95.6
User PnL: -$4.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $508.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $160.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 12AM ET

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.07

Anastasia Potapova position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Potapova vs Karolina Muchova

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or higher on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will Thailand capture Preah Vihear temple by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET