Polymarket Trader

carlaucho

0x9b2cb74802551928c9f8beba895fc43da47a2151

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.11K
Realized PnL: $18.19K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$117.5

No position

Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $20.25
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.48K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$101.25

No position

Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $5.99
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$114.18

Yes position

Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $180.31
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $3.29K
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: $77.46

No position

Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $3.42K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$113.9

No position

Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $179.71
Potential payout: $3.18K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $58.42

No position

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $104.4
Potential payout: $2.61K
Potential profit: $2.51K
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$15.66

Yes position

Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $103.99
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.29K
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$15.81

No position

Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $92.36
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$27.99

No position

Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $9.24
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$112.97

No position

Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $6.34
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$105.99

No position

Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$116.69

No position

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $81.06
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$39.21

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $15.34
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$102.66

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $61.74
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$55.06

No position

Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $8.57
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$104.29

No position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $144.18
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $923.82
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $12.09

No position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $66.99
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $963.65
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$44.38

No position

Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $574.47
Potential profit: $560.97
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$43.04

Felipe Meligeni Alves position

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Mackenzie McDonald vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $33.25
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Hugo Dellien position

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Hugo Dellien

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Kimberly Birrell position

Roland Garros WTA: Kimberly Birrell vs Jessica Pegula

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8K

Luciano Darderi position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24K

Adam Walton position

Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86K

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Robin Montgomery position

Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomery

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Diana Shnaider position

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Juan Manuel Cerundolo position

Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yulia Starodubtseva position

Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Aleksandar Kovacevic position

Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $744.18

Zachary Svajda position

Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $690

Henri Squire position

Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Henri Squire vs Cristian Garin

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $643.99

Matteo Arnaldi position

Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $606.67

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $606.67

Zachary Svajda position

Roland Garros ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajda

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $475

No position

Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.03

Manish Sureshkumar position

Bengaluru 3: Keegan Smith vs Manish Sureshkumar

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Dane Sweeny position

Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Alexandra Eala position

Grass Court Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Ethan Quinn position

Halle Open: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinn

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Tessa Brockmann position

Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Paula Badosa position

Grass Court Championships: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Daniel Altmaier position

Halle Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel Altmaier

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Anna Blinkova position

HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Anna Blinkova

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Mackenzie McDonald vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Felipe Meligeni Alves 7.5% 10 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Mackenzie McDonald vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Felipe Meligeni Alves 6% 25 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Hugo Dellien

Hugo Dellien 10% 25 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Hugo Dellien

Hugo Dellien 10% 5 shares
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Jan Choinski

Marcos Giron 1% 12,000 shares
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Giles Hussey vs Marco Trungelliti

Marco Trungelliti 0.8% 14,999.59 shares
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Damir Dzumhur

Zachary Svajda 0.1% 120,000 shares
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Hamish Stewart vs Aleksandar Vukic

Hamish Stewart 7% 1,714.29 shares
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Murphy Cassone

Murphy Cassone 9% 1,333.33 shares
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Antoine Ghibaudo

Antoine Ghibaudo 3.8% 3,161.01 shares
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Antoine Ghibaudo

Antoine Ghibaudo 10% 6 shares
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Veronika Erjavec

Veronika Erjavec 5% 794.06 shares