Polymarket Trader

win-win-win99

0x9b2d1bd7eb424e9c39b69c1b4a7470497c38ff5b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.53K
Realized PnL: $5.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $8.53K
Potential payout: $9.1K
Potential profit: $568.51
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $334.64

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $905
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $95
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $75

No position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $786.71
Potential payout: $995.84
Potential profit: $209.13
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $112.01

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $717.46
Potential payout: $925.75
Potential profit: $208.29
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $85.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $425.58
Potential payout: $432.5
Potential profit: $6.92
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $23.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $169.16
Potential payout: $189
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $4.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$40.9

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.31
Potential profit: $41.31
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $896.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.59

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.96

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.45

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.82

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.73

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.45

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.53

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.61

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.15

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

No 87% 189 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99.5% 190 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 99.5% 1,700 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 99% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 97.1% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 93% 400 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 99.9% 2,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 99.8% 1,711.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 99.8% 3,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 99.5% 550 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.7% 4,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.6% 340 shares