Polymarket Trader

SloppyDonny

0x9b2fcb79bdb8a6a6174da327e9335f7889c6d8f8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $882.38
Realized PnL: $4.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Trump name "Gianni" or "Infantino" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $599.99
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $97.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $402.5
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$152.5

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $402.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $97.5
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $152.5

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $346.7
Potential profit: $346.7
User PnL: -$103.06

Yes position

Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.11
Potential profit: $272.11
User PnL: -$30.96

Yes position

Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $185.63
Potential payout: $188.93
Potential profit: $3.31
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $67.48

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.97
Potential profit: $151.97
User PnL: -$50.32

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $12.94
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $112.06
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: $4.69

No position

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 14?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.17
Potential profit: $118.17
User PnL: -$32.08

Yes position

Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 91.6%
Current value: $91.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $8.45
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Will Trump say "Jesus" this week?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.38
Potential profit: $92.38
User PnL: -$60.78

No position

Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $56.4
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $3.6
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 13?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.48
Potential profit: $42.48
User PnL: -$18.99

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.2
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$5.8

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.83
Potential profit: $39.83
User PnL: -$16.02

No position

Will Trump say "Brazil" during G7 events?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.93
Potential profit: $35.93
User PnL: -$1.78

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Trump say "Champion" during coal announcement?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.99
Potential profit: $14.99
User PnL: -$5.3

No position

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.9
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $7.13
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.38

No position

Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $0.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.9

Yes position

Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.01

No position

Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.82

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.21

No position

Will JD Vance say "Inflation" 3+ times during Michigan visit?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.52

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.88

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.55

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.4

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.4

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.48

Yes position

Will Trump say “Green New Scam” by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.44

No position

Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.28

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.16

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tax" 15+ times at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.76

No position

Will Trump say "Discombobulating" or "Discombobulated" this week? (February 15)

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.67

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "Joe Biden" in Wisconsin on Thursday?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.93

No position

Will Trump say "Unaffordable Care Act" during healthcare event?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.49

Yes position

Will Trump say "Transgender" during Miami address?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.81

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.7

No position

Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.06

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.07

No position

Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

No position

Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 17.8% 199.99 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 71% 60 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 80% 20 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 79.1% 44.97 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 78.8% 73.19 shares
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 30.4% 50 shares
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 79% 14.86 shares
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 85% 60 shares
Will Trump say "Brazil" during G7 events?

No 5% 35.93 shares
Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?

Yes 62% 11.31 shares
Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?

Yes 59.6% 106.98 shares
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?

Yes 99% 150 shares