Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $58.83
- Potential profit
- $58.8
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Polymarket Trader
0x9b3b...171e
0x9b3be8a5aee4e81d543ca867d21161240582171e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0.04
- Realized PnL
- $239
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $14.46
- Potential profit
- $14.45
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 1AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Down position
Solana Up or Down - July 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Down position
Solana Up or Down - July 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 4?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Up position
XRP Up or Down - July 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp 68% 54.93 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 4?Yes 40% 7.91 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?Yes 15.2% 45.78 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 4?No 59% 8.81 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 4?No 49% 2.37 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 4?No 48% 3.92 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 4?No 43% 2.53 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp 81% 7.09 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp 90% 1.19 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp 90% 3.56 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp 84% 19.07 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp 84% 1.9 shares