No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $25.16
- Potential payout
- $25.2
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.16
Polymarket Trader
0x9b4238Be97344B535c91E04726a6627DA256B0d0-1776150048043
0x9b4238be97344b535c91e04726a6627da256b0d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.16
- Realized PnL
- $2.54
- Win rate
- 85%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
X banned in U.K. by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No 99.2% 6.05 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 98.9% 9.1 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 25.2 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?No 99.5% 25.21 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?No 98.9% 35 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 99.7% 19.57 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 99.3% 26 shares
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 0.1% 500 shares
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Yes 99.9% 18.67 shares
- Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No 98% 16.9 shares
- Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No 99.9% 15 shares