Polymarket Trader

Niclos

@Niclosantonio

0x9b4ffd879c98615a706e127a3b9c7f7cef32ce1f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $600.41
Realized PnL: $1.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$38.5

Rafael Jodar position

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$39

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $223.49
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $76.5
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$17.5

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $183
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $17
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $35

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$86

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $93.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $6.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $14.5

No position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $18.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $31.25
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$45

No position

Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $42.24
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $7.75
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $8.25

No position

Will Hurupay launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $37.93
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $3.08
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $6.76

Stefanos Tsitsipas position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machac

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$16.84

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$28.32

Federico Cina position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $158

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.99

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62

Team Tidebound position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound - Game 2 Winner

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on November 24?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.8

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

GamerLegion position

Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.37

Runa Team position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team (BO3)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.93

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Nigma Galaxy position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.9

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3)

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.25

OG position

Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.07

GamerLegion position

Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.75

No position

Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-07?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

No 75% 100 shares
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machac

Stefanos Tsitsipas 15.4% 10 shares
Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?

No 99.8% 52.26 shares
Trump out as President by April 30?

No 99.8% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Up 75% 9.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Up 75% 9.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Up 74% 9.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Up 66% 9.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Up 75% 9.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Up 73.2% 9.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Up 75% 9.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Up 75% 9.64 shares