Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $75.03
- Potential profit
- $74.77
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Polymarket Trader
Pacif0
0x9b5182b37abb89d94efef83864f9ea6d1e18e1a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.66
- Realized PnL
- -$0.14
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.91
- Potential profit
- $52.91
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $12.9
- Potential payout
- $21.33
- Potential profit
- $8.43
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $4.61
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $10.16
- Potential payout
- $21.17
- Potential profit
- $11.01
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $9.93
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $5.59
- Potential profit
- $4.72
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $5.41
- Potential profit
- $3.79
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 9.93 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes 29% 5.41 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 22% 5.59 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 75.03 shares
- Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?Yes 1.1% 52.91 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 75% 6.69 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 41% 6.69 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No 43% 6.77 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 39% 10.44 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 42% 10.73 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No 37% 6.57 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No 37% 7.99 shares