Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $4.51
- Potential payout
- $79.17
- Potential profit
- $74.65
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Polymarket Trader
Commander001
0x9b5376df445a570f8c0a3f9c8630794a21660e70
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $162.7
- Realized PnL
- $37.68
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $60.37
- Potential payout
- $77.4
- Potential profit
- $17.03
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $30.37
No position
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $27.94
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $30.88
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $7.94
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $19.6
- Potential payout
- $39.59
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $19.42
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $19.04
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $11.38
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $1.78
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $4.66
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $6.84
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$5.34
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $10.91
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.89
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $9.18
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $6.84
- Potential profit
- $5.99
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.15
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.95
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
No position
Will the US lose jobs in January?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.78
No position
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in January?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 38.8% 77.4 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No 86.5% 11.56 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 49% 39.59 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 94% 21.5 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 19% 6.84 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 26% 5.77 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 25% 10 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 26% 3.85 shares
- Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes 24% 21.73 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 92% 21.74 shares
- Will the US lose jobs in January?No 88.7% 21.42 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?No 98% 20.74 shares