Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $894.5
- Potential payout
- $5.42K
- Potential profit
- $4.53K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Polymarket Trader
chong358
0x9b5457c25836565b0a94fd4a0a7df79d82255e38
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.45K
- Realized PnL
- $48.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Current value
- $4.56K
- Potential payout
- $5.42K
- Potential profit
- $861.32
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $24.71
- Potential profit
- $24.66
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.59K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.92K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.23K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.3K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $562.45
No position
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.6
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.18
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.44
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.34
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.4
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.8
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $291.34
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $285.12
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.76
No position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $215
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $207.97
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $190.43
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 40% 75 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 59.8% 75.27 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 59.8% 338 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 40% 333.8 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 15% 951.07 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 16% 4,532.6 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 87% 5,157.88 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 38% 5,830 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 60.9% 5,830.36 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 24% 814 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No 50% 814.33 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 59.4% 100 shares