No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $683.84
- Potential profit
- $683.84
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
75453729265141315417
0x9b58b389d43a320e5973223df79ccef18a173550
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $159.98
- Realized PnL
- $108.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $258.41
- Potential profit
- $258.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $70.95
- Potential profit
- $70.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $53.5
- Potential payout
- $53.52
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $5.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50.23
- Potential profit
- $50.2
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.7
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $49.95
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $5.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.43
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.18
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$2.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $45.61
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $43.32
- Potential profit
- $43.3
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $42.55
- Potential profit
- $41.36
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.48
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?Yes 30% 3.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp 56% 8.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 15?Yes 94% 2.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 15?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 15?Yes 46.2% 2.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 15?Yes 39.2% 2.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETDown 61% 1.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp 43% 2.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown 48% 2.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp 52% 1.92 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?No 2.6% 587.2 shares
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group ATYLOO 34% 2.94 shares