Polymarket Trader

0x9b5fb62fF41E104e65FA6CC4e57575EbD05f11c5-1768257631823

0x9b5fb62ff41e104e65fa6cc4e57575ebd05f11c5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $363.53
Realized PnL: $8.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $59.02
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $2.75K
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$26.98

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$69.9

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$12.1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$37.4

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $64.24
Potential payout: $899.72
Potential profit: $835.48
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: $19.64

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $789.44
Potential profit: $787.46
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$14.81

Yes position

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $611.06
Potential profit: $606.79
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $432.41
Potential profit: $432.41
User PnL: -$20.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $182.15
Potential payout: $346.96
Potential profit: $164.8
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $19.08

No position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $333.34
Potential profit: $333
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $282.06
Potential profit: $282.06
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.81
Potential payout: $268.03
Potential profit: $265.22
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Will Bolivia replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.64
Potential profit: $227.64
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $223.87
Potential profit: $222.08
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$2.21

Yes position

Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.79
Potential payout: $223.24
Potential profit: $220.45
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$2.21

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $7.68
Potential payout: $210.49
Potential profit: $202.81
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$12.32

Yes position

Will Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $207.6
Potential profit: $203.97
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$2.37

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.38
Potential profit: $206.38
User PnL: -$10.8

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.57
Potential profit: $194.57
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.06
Potential profit: $113.06
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $29.44
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $81.67
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $19.44

Yes position

Will UAE replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $109.09
Potential profit: $105.71
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$2.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $746.86

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $578.04

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $536.67

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $522.3

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $418.36

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $277.6

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.11

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.57

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.22

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.45

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.72

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.98

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.06

Yes position

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.22

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.61

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.82

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.21

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $93.97

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.46

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.21

Yes position

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 3.9% 101.95 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 3.9% 513.1 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Yes 12% 5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 51% 38.55 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 3.5% 1,144.42 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 2.9% 344.96 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?

Yes 2.2% 178.66 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 51% 115.14 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?

Yes 2.3% 86.96 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?

Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?

Yes 2.3% 87.63 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 52% 10 shares